Has the bear market ended? Is the rebound lasting? Everybody
wants an answer but nobody can provide one with a good degree of
confidence. While fundamental analysis is notoriously weak when it
comes to market timing decisions and price target forecasts,
technical analysis is equally timid in providing any concrete
answers to the above fundamentally important questions for market
participants. No existing system has produced a firm answer with a
respectable degree of conviction.
This book will present a system to answer those questions with
a high degree of confidence.
Xin Xie is the Director for Institute of International Trade
and Investment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center,
Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry of
Education. He has a PhD in Economics from Columbia University in
New York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan
University of Finance in China. He has extensive experiences in
banking and investment industries as Senior Economists and
Strategists in Bank of America and UBS AG.
關於作者:
Xin Xie is the Director for the Institute of
International Trade and Investment at the Upper Yangtze River
Economic Research Center, Chongqing University of Business and
Technology and PRC Ministry of Education. He has a PhD in Economics
from the Columbia University in New York and a Master of Arts
Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan University of Finance in China. He
has extensive experience in the banking and investment industries
as a Senior Economist and Strategist, starting his investment
career with UBS AG in Zurich and later working for the Bank of
America in Singapore.
目錄:
Preface.
1 The Need for a Full View Integrated Approach.
1.1 The Motivation.
1.2 The Necessity of FVITA.
1.3 Random Walk?
2 Two Basic Elements of Market Dynamics.
2.1 Oscillators—An Overview.
2.2 The Oscillator of Choice—Stochastics.
2.3 Trend Indicator—Moving Average.
2.4 Trend Indicator—Moving Average ConvergenceDivergence.
2.5 Adaptive Trend Indicators.
2.6 Adaptive Oscillators.
2.7 Other Tools of Technical Analysis.
3 Multi-Screen Systems.
3.1 The Need for Multi-Screen Approaches.
3.2 Triple Screens.
3.3 Extended Interval Charts in FVITA—Daily and Up.
3.4 Intra-Day Interval Charts in FVITA.
4 Bounded, Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Markets.
4.1 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market I—Concept.
4.2 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market II—Criteria.
4.3 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market III—Limits of
Countermovements.
4.4 Triple Screen System Under Full View.
5 Market Turning Points and Duration of Pauses.
5.1 Support and Resistance.
5.2 Bollinger Bands.
5.3 Waves.
5.4 Turning Points after Eight and R9 Observations.
5.5 Thrust.
5.6 Type I, II, and III Pauses.
6 Trend Reversals vs. Temporary Countertrends.
6.1 Trend Reversals.
6.2 Without the Two-Day Chart.
6.3 Running Space after Trend Reversal.
6.4 Temporary Countertrends.
6.5 Straight Pauses.
6.6 Exception 1: Composite Bottoming-Up and Composite
Topping-Off.
6.7 Exception 2: Approaching the Turning Point.
6.8 Relationship between Low- and High-Order Signals.
6.9 Trading Strategies on Trend Signals.
7 Pauses Under Different Market Conditions.
8 Case Studies.
9 Random Walk, Effi cient Market vs. Market Activism.
10 Integrating Macro, Fundamental, Quantitative and Technical
Analysis.
11 Other Issues.
12 Concluding Remarks.
Glossary.
References.
Index.